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Pá 13.09.2024
Daniil Kashkarov: Essays on Human Capital, Inequality and Technological Change
Dissertation Committee:
Marek Kapička (CERGE-EI, chair)
Ctirad Slavík (CERGE-EI)
Sergey Slobodyan (CERGE-EI)
Veronika Selezneva (Paris Dauphine University)
Defense Committee:
Byeongju Jeong (CERGE-EI, chair)
Krešimir Žigić (CERGE-EI)
Martin Macháček (Technical University of Ostrava)
Referees:
Gustavo Ventura (Arizona State University)
Vladimir Smirnyagin (University of Virginia)
- Room 402
- On-line connection: https://call.lifesizecloud.com/21971629, passcode: 7524
Abstract:
In this thesis, I study the adaptation of workers to labor market disruptions, with emphasis on adaptation to technological change, through the lens of structural life-cycle models of skill investment and occupational choice. In the first chapter, I use a life-cycle model of human capital investment and occupational choice to link the adaptive capacity of workers with different learning abilities to earnings inequality that arises in the process of routine-biased technological change (RBTC). Estimating the model on NLSY79 and CPS data, I establish that the responses of workers with higher learning ability in routine occupations, who adapt to RBTC by accumulating additional human capital and switch to non-routine cognitive occupations, significantly dampen an RBTC-induced increase in the non-routine cognitive wage premium.
The second chapter focuses on how generations of workers adapt to routine-biased technological change by altering their career paths. We develop a model which endogenously generates realistic career paths across routine and non-routine occupations over worker' lifetimes and estimate it using PSID data and job ad data from three major US outlets covering the period from 1940 to 2000. We show that, in the course of RBTC, the disappearance of a subset of routine occupations used as stepping stones can decrease the chances of workers from younger cohorts to progress towards high-skilled non-routine cognitive occupations later in the life cycle. While a significant share of younger workers adapts by altering their career paths towards the high-skilled occupations, these alternative paths are often associated with human capital depreciation affecting the wage distribution for younger cohorts of non-routine cognitive workers.
In the third chapter, I extend the economic model of workers' decision-making to account for the characteristics of environment that are considered the most important in adaptation theory in biology and ecology --- sciences that study and predict adaptation in a wide variety of contexts for some of the most diverse entities in the universe. I then estimate the economic model informed by adaptation theory in biology and ecology on the NLSY79 and O*NET data and use it to quantitatively evaluate the adaptation predictions delivered by biology and ecology in the context of labor markets. The universality of the results delivered by many decades of adaptation research in biology and ecology allows me to analyze the adaptive responses of workers across different contexts within a single framework, to predict the consequences of major labor market disruptions, such as automation, the introduction of AI, and climate change.
Full Text: "Essays on Human Capital, Inequality and Technological Change"
Journal Articles CZ FIX THE LINKS
Altmejd, Adam, Andrés Barrios-Fernández, Marin Drlje, Joshua Goodman, Michael Hurwitz, Dejan Kovac, Christine Mulhern, Christopher Neilson, and Jonathan Smith. 2021. “O Brother, Where Start Thou? Sibling Spillovers on College and Major Choice in Four Countries.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 136(3): 1831–1886.
Kőszegi, Botond, and Filip Matějka. 2020. “Choice Simplification: A Theory of Mental Budgeting and Naive Diversification.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2): 1153–1207.
Bartoš, Vojtěch, Michal Bauer, Jana Cahlíková, and Julie Chytilová. 2022. “Communicating Doctors’ Consensus Persistently Increases COVID-19 Vaccinations.” Nature, 606: 542–549.
Working Papers CZ
792. Audzei Volha and Sergey Slobodyan. October 2024. “Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria” (Full Text)
791. Mutluer Konuray. October 2024. “Leading by Example Among Equals” (Full Text)
790. Linek Lukáš, Michael Škvrňák, Michal Šoltés and Vítězslav Titl. October 2024. “Czech Political Candidate and Donation Datasets” (Full Text)
789. Bauer Michal, Julie Chytilová and Eric Ochieng. September 2024. “Preference Transmission within Churches: Religious Leaders and Clusters of (In)Tolerance” (Full Text)
788. Pavlova Margarita. August 2024. “Competition and the Gender Pay Gap: Evidence from the Russian Trade Withdrawal” (Full Text)
787. Gharibyan Sinara. August 2024. “Collective vs. Family Remembrance: Evidence From Two Russian Betrayals” (Full Text)
786. Trestcov Ivan and Aizhamal Rakhmetova. August 2024. “Winning Culture, Winning Future: The Effects of Early-Career Success on Long-Run Performance” (Full Text)
785. Ashenfelter Orley and Štěpán Jurajda. July 2024. “The U.S. Low-Wage Structure: A McWage Comparison” (Full Text)
784. Ivanov-Davtyan Lusine. July 2024. “Education Under Attack? The Impact of a Localized War on Schooling Achievements” (Full Text)
783. Del Prato Francesco and Paolo Zacchia. June 2024. “The Heterogeneous Consequences of Reduced Labor Costs on Firm Productivity” (Full Text)
782. Shcherbov Arsenii. June 2024. “Forced Migration and Crime: Evidence from the 2014 Immigration Wave to Russia” (Full Text)
781. Rychalovska Yuliya, Sergey Slobodyan and Raf Wouters. May 2024. “Survey Expectations, Adaptive Learning and Inflation Dynamics” (Full Text)
780. Cota Marta and Ante Šterc. May 2024. “Financial Skills and Search in the Mortgage Market” (Full Text)
779. Chen Daniel L., Lubomír Cingl, Arnaud Philippe and Michal Šoltés. April 2024. “Exploring Inmates’ Perceptions, Attitudes, and Behavior: Implications for Theories of Crime” (Full Text)
778. Bičáková Alena and Štěpán Jurajda. March 2024. “COVID-19 and Political Preferences Through Stages of the Pandemic: The Case of the Czech Republic” (Full Text)
777. Lorko Matej, Tomáš Miklánek and Maroš Servátka. March 2024. “Why do some nudges work and others not?” (Full Text)
776. Kashkarov Daniil and Valentin Artemev. March 2024. “Disappearing Stepping Stones: Technological Change and Career Paths” (Full Text)
775. Alfaro-Ureña Alonso and Paolo Zacchia. March 2024. “Matching to Suppliers in the Production Network: an Empirical Framework” (Full Text)
774. Ottinger Sebastian and Lukas Rosenberger. February 2024. “The American Origin of the French Revolution” (Full Text)
773. Senkov Maxim and Toygar T. Kerman. February 2024. “Changing Simplistic Worldviews” (Full Text)
772. Kerman Toygar T. and Anastas P. Tenev. February 2024. “Pitfalls of Information Spillovers in Persuasion” (Full Text)
771. Tokhirov Azizbek. December 2023. “Patience and Giving: Global Evidence Based on Longitudinal and Linguistic Data” (Full Text)
770. Pertold Filip, Sofiana Sinani and Michal Šoltés. November 2023. “Gender Gap in Reported Childcare Preferences among Parents” (Full Text)
769. Razumovskii Artem. November 2023. “Interim Deadline for Procrastinators” (Full Text)
768. Ochsner Christian. November 2023. “Hostility, Population Sorting, and Backwardness: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Red Army after WWII” (Full Text)
767. Alfonsi Livia, Michal Bauer, Julie Chytilová and Edward Miguel. November 2023. “Human Capital Affects Religious Identity: Causal Evidence from Kenya” (Full Text)
766. Rychalovska Yuliya, Sergey Slobodyan and Rafael Wouters. October 2023. “Professional Survey Forecasts and
Expectations in DSGE Models” (Full Text)
765. Maksymovych Sergii. October 2023. “The Impact of the Firstborn Gender on Family Formation and Dissolution: Evidence from Russia” (Full Text)
764. Rakhmetova Aizhamal and Ivan Trestcov. September 2023. “Weather Shocks and Bride Kidnapping in Kyrgyzstan” (Full Text)
763. Chegere Martin, Paolo Falco and Andreas Menzel. September 2023. “Social Ties at Work and Effort Choice: Experimental Evidence from Tanzania” (Full Text)
762. Baghumyan Gayane. August 2023. “Sexual-Orientation Discrimination and Biological Attributions: Experimental Evidence from Russia” (Full Text) (Additional Materials)
761. Martirosyan Yervand. August 2023. “The Long-Term Impact of Energy Poverty and Its Mitigation on Educational Attainment: Evidence From China” (Full Text)
760. Stojanovic Dušan. August 2023. “Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Implications for Income and Wealth Inequality” (Full Text)
759. Skolkova Alena. July 2023. “Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Instruments Using Elastic-Net IV” (Full Text)
758. Skolkova Alena. July 2023. “Model Averaging with Ridge Regularization” (Full Text)
757. De Jaegher Kris, Michal Šoltés and Vítězslav Titl. July 2023. “Easing Renegotiation Rules in Public Procurement: Evidence from a Policy Reform” (Full Text)
756. Mamonov Mikhail and Anna Pestova. June 2023. “The Price of War: Macroeconomic and Cross-Sectional Effects of Sanctions on Russia” (Full Text)
755. Mamonov Mikhail. June 2023. “Measuring Fraud in Banking and its Impact on the Economy: A Quasi-Natural Experiment” (Full Text)
754. Goncharenko Roman, Mikhail Mamonov, Steven Ongena, Svetlana Popova and Natalia Turdyeva. June 2023. “Quo Vadis? Evidence on New Firm-Bank Matching and Firm Performance Following “Sin” Bank Closures” (Full Text)
753. Mamonov Mikhail, Anna Pestova and Steven Ongena. May 2023. ““Crime and Punishment”? How Banks Anticipate and Propagate Global Financial Sanctions” (Full Text)
752. Malnati Flavio. May 2023. “Deus Vult! Military Capacity and Economic Development in the Teutonic-Order State” (Full Text)
751. Cota Marta. April 2023. “Extrapolative Income Expectations and Retirement Savings” (Full Text)
750. Miotto Martina. April 2023. “Colonialism, Cash Crops and Women in Africa” (Full Text)
749. Coluccia Davide M., Gaia Dossi and Sebastian Ottinger. March 2023. “Racial Discrimination and Lost Innovation: Evidence from US Inventors, 1895–1925” (Full Text)
748. Stojanović Dušan. March 2023. “The Effects of Government Spending in Segmented Labor and Financial Markets” (Full Text)
747. Kouro Theodor. March 2023. “Allocation Choice in Charitable Giving: A Natural Field Experiment” (Full Text)
746. Beneš Jaromír, Tomáš Motl and David Vávra. March 2023. “Practical Macrofinancial Stability Analysis: A Prototype Semistructural Model” (Full Text)
745. Afunts Geghetsik, Misina Cato and Tobias Schmidt. February 2023. “Inflation Expectations in the Wake of the War in Ukraine” (Full Text)
744. Grossmann Jakub and Štěpán Jurajda. February 2023. “Voting under Debtor Distress” (Full Text)
743. Badalyan Sona, Darya Korlyakova and Rastislav Rehák. February 2023. “Disclosure Discrimination: An Experiment Focusing on Communication in the Hiring Process” (Full Text)
742. Grossmann Jakub, Filip Pertold and Michal Šoltés. February 2023. “Parental Allowance Increase and Labour Supply: Evidence from a Czech Reform” (Full Text)
741. Chen Ying and Jan Zápal. November 2022. “Naked Exclusion with Heterogeneous Buyers” (Full Text)
740. Afunts Geghetsik and Štěpán Jurajda. November 2022. “Who Divorces Whom: Unilateral Divorce Legislation and the Educational Structure of Marriage” (Full Text)
739. Rehák Rastislav. November 2022. “Sequential Sampling Beyond Decisions? A Normative Model of Decision Confidence” (Full Text)
738. Boadu-Sebbe Gregory. October 2022. “Effect of Exchange-Traded Funds Arbitrage Transactions on their Underlying Holdings” (Full Text)
737. Šustek Roman. October 2022. “A Back-of-the-Envelope Analysis of House Prices: Czech Republic, 2013-2021” (Full Text)
736. Ilinov Pavel, Andrei Matveenko, Maxim Senkov and Egor Starkov. September 2022. “Optimally Biased Expertise” (Full Text)
735. Kosar Mariia and Sergei Mikhalishchev. September 2022. “Inattentive Price Discovery in ETFs” (Full Text)
734. Senkov Maxim. August 2022. “Setting Interim Deadlines to Persuade” (Full Text)
733. Trestcov Ivan. August 2022. “Compliance Behavior under Surveillance: Introduction of the Video Assistant Referee to European Football” (Full Text)
732. Bičáková Alena and Klára Kalíšková. August 2022. “Is Longer Maternal Care Always Beneficial? The Impact of a Four-year Paid Parental Leave” (Full Text)
731. Korlyakova Darya. July 2022. “Do Pessimistic Expectations About Discrimination Make Minorities Withdraw Their Effort? Causal Evidence” (Full Text)
730. Bianchi Daniele, Mykola Babiak and Alexander Dickerson. June 2022. “Trading Volume and Liquidity Provision in Cryptocurrency Markets” (Full Text)
729. Šterc Ante. June 2022. “Limited Consideration in the Investment Fund Choice” (Full Text)
728. Hrehová Kristína and Štefan Domonkos. June 2022. “Proximity to Help Matters: The Effect of Access to Centers of Legal Aid on Bankruptcy Rates” (Full Text)
727. Stojanović Danilo. May 2022. “The 2003 Tax Reform and Corporate Payout Policy in the US” (Full Text)
726. Baisalova Aisha. July 2022. “Exploring Border Effects: Sensitivity of Cigarette Consumption to Excise Tax” (Full Text)
725. Cingl Lubomír, Tomáš Lichard and Tomáš Miklánek. March 2022. “Mist Over a Meadow: Tax Designation Effects on Compliance” (Full Text)
Dissertations CZ
Stojanović, Dušan "Essays on Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policies"
Date of defense: Janury 10, 2025.
Staněk, Filip "Essays in Time-Series Forecasting"
Date of defense: September 16, 2024.
Kashkarov, Daniil "Essays on Human Capital, Inequality and Technological Change"
Date of defense: September 13, 2024.
Šterc, Ante "Essays on Frictions in Financial Decisions"
Date of defense: July 30, 2024.
Sargsyan, Ella "Essays in Development Economics"
Date of defense: July 23, 2024.
Cota, Marta "Behavior and Complexity in Household Finance"
Date of defense: July 11, 2024.
Pyrlik, Vladimir "Essays in High-dimensional Econometrics and Finance"
Date of defense: May 20, 2024.
Jibuti, Daviti "Essays in Experimental Economics: Labor Market Discrimination"
Date of defense: March 26, 2024.
Adunts, Davit "Essays on International Migration"
Date of defense: February 26, 2024.
Pestova, Anna "Essays in Applied Macroeconomics"
Date of defense: January 23, 2024.
Kapanadze, Ketevani "Essays in Regional Economics and European Integration"
Date of defense: December 19, 2023.
Skolkova, Alena "Essays on Model Uncertainty and Model Averaging"
Date of defense: December 14, 2023.
Senkov, Maxim "Essays in Strategic Information Provision"
Date of defense: December 6, 2023.
Mamonov, Mikhail "Essays on Political Distortions in Banking and the Real Economy"
Date of defense: October 25, 2023.
Maksymovych, Sergii "Parenting of Sons and Daughters, Household Decision Making and Family Characteristics"
Date of defense: September 25, 2023.
Bělín, Matěj "Essays in Applied Econometrics"
Date of defense: September 19, 2023.
Afunts, Geghetsik "Essays in Applied Economics"
Date of defense: September 7, 2023.
Korlyakova, Darya "Essays on Information and Discrimination"
Date of defense: September 7, 2023.
Rehák, Rastislav "Essays in Information Economics"
Date of defense: August 31, 2023.
Hrehová, Kristína "Essays in Empirical Economics of the Family"
Date of defense: July 20, 2023.
Groero, Jaroslav "Essays on Genoeconomics"
Date of defense: June 16, 2023.
Ilinov, Pavel "Essays on Endogenous Information Acquisition in Economics"
Date of defense: April 13, 2023.
Hrendash, Taras "Essays on Economics of Innovations"
Date of defense: March 14, 2023.
Kyrychenko, Olexiy "Essays on Environmental and Health Economics"
Date of defense: February 8, 2023.
Kudashvili, Nikoloz "Essays in Experimental Economics: Discrimination and Education"
Date of defense: December 7, 2022.
Mikhalishchev, Sergei "Essays on the Implications of Bounded Rationality to Choice"
Date of defense: September 20, 2022.
Štefko, Peter "Essays on Information in Financial Markets"
Date of defense: June 14, 2022.
Travova, Ekaterina "Essays in Applied Economics"
Date of defense: June 14, 2022.
Todua, Gega "Essays on the Economics of Education "
Date of defense: March 18, 2022.
Kovář, Kamil "Essays on Interbank Interest Rates"
Date of defense: March 14, 2022.
Appleman, William "Explorations into Behavioral Phenomena"
Date of defense: December 6, 2021.
